Togo

In Togo, global warming phenomenon is accompanied by a trend towards the drying up of the climate, which seriously affects the various sectors of activity and human health. Observations of the climate in Togo over the period 1961-2012 reveal a warming of 1°C compared to the period 1961-1985. The scenarios developed, whatever the assumptions, clearly show that climate change is a real concern for the country and that warming trends will increase in the short, medium and long terms with consequences that would be very damaging.

Togo’s commitment under the revised NDCs: Togo intends to deploy measures in a number of its sectors’ economy to reduce its emissions. Contributions could come from the energy, industrial processes and product use, from agriculture, forestry and other land use and the waste sectors. These mitigation measures are guided by a long-term low-carbon development aspiration that promotes the implementation of the Government’s Roadmap (FDR 2020-2025), agricultural policy and the fight against poverty.

Conditional scenario: Togo had expressed a conditional target commitment to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 20% compared to an uncontrolled development scenario. By comparing the effective reduction in GHG emissions obtained in 2020 with that forecast for the same year in the initial NDCs, it appears that Togo has reached an additional reduction of 2,915 Gg CO₂-eq, or 10.06%.In the proposed approach for the conditional mitigation scenario of the revised NDCs, the Togolese State undertakes, if it receives the required support, to achieve a 30.06% reduction in GHG emissions compared to the reference scenario by 2030 (9305.59 Gg CO₂-eq) without compromising its policy of food self-sufficiency or even its sustainable development.

Unconditional scenario: In its revised NDCs, Togo commits to an unconditional contribution to reducing its GHG emissions by 20.51% by 2030 (6,236.02 Gg CO₂-eq). The combined unconditional and conditional contributions therefore correspond to a reduction of 50.57% in GHG emissions compared to the reference scenario (baseline), which is equivalent to an estimated level of mitigation of 15,378.55 Gg CO₂-eq by 2030. The implementation of the revised NDCs requires significant investments between 2020 and 2030 for mitigation and for adaptation in the most vulnerable sectors (agriculture, water resources, forestry and land uses, coastal zone and human settlements). Part of the actions included in the revised NDCs stem from the PND (2018-2022) reflected into ongoing FDR 2020-2025.

Revised NDC financial needs: The revised NDC project portfolio represents 5.537 billion USD of total investment by 2030 to reduce GHG emissions by 50.57% or 15,378.55 Gg CO₂-eq compared to the reference scenario through unconditional and conditional combined contributions. The unconditional measures represent 30.79% of the overall projected aid and 69.21% for the conditional measures, an investment estimated at 3.827 billion USD. Several financial instruments, line of credit and donations will be mobilized to finance the revised NDCs. Overall financing by line of credit represents an overall investment of USD 1.117 billion, or 20% of the overall investment, of which USD 408.130 million has already been acquired for unconditional projects. The second financial instrument that can be mobilized is the subsidy that may reach 4.420 billion US dollars. This represents 80% of the overall investment, including around 603.4 million USD for the unconditional part.

• Public-private partnerships
• Identification, design and development of impactful and bankable infrastructure projects,
• Access to green financing opportunities
• MRV process.

• Provision of database and information for SCF country profile (31 January 2022).